THE DANGEROUS DONALD

Are His Disruptions Worth the Risk?

In the last decade, I worked for a media maven who was highly successful at creating wealth from good ideas or simply through his reputation. He once issued a motivational piece for the workers of his large radio broadcast division where he urged us to be “disruptors.” I got its surface meaning, but let’s look beyond the buzz word. The meaning of the word includes, “something that interrupts an event, activity, or process by causing a disturbance or problem.” Not all disturbances are good for a group or individual and when you have a smart collection of problem solvers, why would you be giving them something that would move them into disruption? I used to say, with great sarcasm and irony, you better hope that whatever you disrupt is a big success or you’ll be blamed for the problem you created and be the first to go.

This brings us to Donald Trump, who was outraged by Robert Mueller’s public comments and then displayed his anger on the north lawn of the White House. It’s clear that Trump must “punch back” when someone gets in his way, but when did punching ever bring a long-term solution to any problem? Trump would make a horrible poker player because he shows his next move so clearly. While he was putting down Robert Mueller, he announced that he would have a major announcement on the border. By putting those together, he was telegraphing that he would soon be lashing out at another someone or something.

So, late last night, Trump announced “On June 10th, the United States will impose a 5% Tariff on all goods coming into our Country from Mexico, until such time as illegal migrants coming through Mexico, and into our Country, STOP. The Tariff will gradually increase until the Illegal Immigration problem is remedied…” And now we will see reactions in the world markets because Trump’s disruption is a holy trade war, not a well-developed plan to make trade work better for the US.

from MarketWatch.com

While the financial “news” networks give large slices of airtime to discussions about American entities like Uber, Tesla and Beyond Meat, there are thousands of our major companies that depend on parts, resources and services from firms around the world. To ignore the reality of a world market is not rational on any level. But Donald Trump is being disruptive with his ignorance in tow.

There was a time I worked on the campaign of a politician who would occasionally come late to the brainstorming meetings of the staff. One particular time we had worked up dozens of ideas on the white board and we all were excited about giving him input. He strode late into the meeting, glanced at the board, then said, “Yeah, we aren’t going to do any of that; here’s the plan.” I walked away from the campaign that night with little respect for the politician and had a feeling of retribution when he lost the election. What I learned is that disruption from the top, when it doesn’t work, means the big guy gets all the blame.

We have many people in America who make a lot of money analyzing and predicting our collective financial futures. And some of the more honest of those folks admit that there are instances when they can‘t explain why the market did this or that. Deep down inside, most Americans know the global economy is the reason we lost much of our manufacturing base. Seriously disruptive waves must be met with adjustment, not bucking the tide and standing ground. Executing a stand-still strategy often leads to failure and disaster under water.

If you are drowning in your own personal debt, you will generally swing away at every other possible cause before you look at yourself and determine the real cause of debt is simply spending more money than you have. Doh! After running businesses with tons of debt and using the bankruptcy escape hatch more than most well-managed corporations, it’s disingenuous when Donald Trump froths at his small pie hole about how everyone else is screwing America. Dangerous Donald is running up the debt in America because the military, border walls and pork for rich people are more important to him than stable governance.

Trump is more stubborn than smart. He’s like a snapping turtle who doesn’t quite understand that holding firmly on the stick isn’t going to keep him alive. Wood is not food and trying to win a battle with a decaying object won’t work. Yes, I am comparing the actions of a reptile to the President of the United States of America, who in most cases uses his reptilian brain rather than the logic circuits of his frontal lobes. Perhaps they died from atrophy.

The citizens of this country may feel good about the strength of the turtle and admire his will to fight, but those who worship the man in the White House must connect the dots to see that the head disruptor is messing up things more and more with each misinformed  move. First, and most importantly, after you negotiate a deal you cannot change it. Trump’s moves will blow up the USMCA, which was supposed to fix the “bad” NAFTA trading agreement. NAFTA might not have been perfect, but the USMCA probably has just as many restrictions and weaknesses, but Trump wanted to keep his promise.

The real problems with the migration of people to the US may be greater than our laws. According to the Washington Post, “Migrants say they are coming to the United States because droughts are frying Central American harvests, they can’t pay their bills, and gangs are recruiting children.” Trump ignores the warnings of Climate Change, so how can he possibly apply creative solutions to complex issues?

In the end, the disruptions of the Daft Donald will move us backward. The lack of respect for a deal maker whose word means nothing will haunt America for years to come. Put yourself in the shoes of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau or the new Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. These leaders spent time in good faith negotiating a new deal, only to have it ignored by a moody US President. Yes, the immigration problem is real, but reverse it. What if thousands of Americas were leaving our soil for Mexico? We would expect Mexico to stop us from entering, not stop us from leaving. Trump is putting our economic system at risk over things that could and should have been solved at the negotiation table. Sadly, the art of the deal is just more mistruth from the lie master. We need to start to ask, WWPPD, “What would President Pence do?”

BRAND NEW BOOK ON AMERICA

Gold, God, Guns & Goofballs shows how we’ve wasted our GOLD on bad wars and corruption. While GOD is there for many people as a spiritual enrichment and the provider of glowing feelings, the truth is just praying and believing will not change our major arc. We don’t determine who gets a GUN. We aren’t sure if we have paramilitary groups ready to storm the White House or a White Castle. There is no control of weapons. The GOOFBALLS with the power constantly try to manipulate us into spending more money on bombs and tanks and wars. When all of our institutions are infected with neglect and fall in disrepair, we will only have ourselves to blame. This book is not an antidote for the left or right, it’s an accelerant to move the middle off their collective asses to go do something positive for America.

Get the Kindle Version HERE. Or order your paperback edition HERE.

 


TRUMP’S TRADE WAR

Did He Really Need to Do This?

If you review the dogma of Donald Trump, you will see a picture of the administration’s complete lack of intelligent design. If you wanted to bring together many nations to curb Chinese manipulation of world trade, you would sign an TTP agreement. Trump walked away from it. After NAFTA achieved years of strong economic development in the US, Canadian and Mexico, Trump tore it up.

If you want to keep track of the nuclear ambitions of Iran, you make them sign an agreement with many nations. Trump walked away from it. If you want to motivate the countries of the world to establish reasonable pollution control and climate change curtailment, you sign a Paris Accord. Trump walked away from it.

And now, Trump believes that the way to get the world’s economy under the control of American money is to slap tariffs on products from all the top economies of the world. What is a tariff? It’s a tax on imports or exports between sovereign states. It is a means to regulate international trade by taxing foreign products to encourage or safeguard domestic industry. Basically, we add taxes to products so that another country cannot undercut US products with a price advantage. This was first done by Alexander Hamilton to protect new companies from harsh competition.

Consider this. You bought a case of wine in France and tucked it into your luggage as you returned to the US. A customs inspector discovers your cache and analyzes it. Let’s say you bought a case of 36 bottles for two dollars a bottle. So, the value of your case is $72 and the tariff (really a fine in this case) is $8 per bottle or $288 for the case. Now, let’s further say you were bringing the case into America for a friend. Instead of charging your friend $72, you now must charge your drinking buddy $360 for the contraband you delivered. If we apply this to a real-world business situation, one might also have to charge the friend federal and state taxes on the goods, which would raise the cost even more. Yes, the treasury got the $288 in fees, but the tariff was paid by the importer, and the consumer reimbursed the importer for their costs. The money was a tax paid by the consumer and deposited into the treasury.

Now, if France got wind of this tariff and matched the tariff on something coming the other way, let’s say, a John Deere tractor, then their consumers would have to pay an increased price on the US-made tractor. But what if the French refused to pay the tariff and bought a Kubota tractor from Japan? That would mean the US manufacturer would lose the sale and the trade war would damage that company’s bottom-line. These complex layers of global trade are a great pitch to rabid political rally goers, but the consequences of knee jerk trade policies become highly problematic for our producers.

Idiot-in-Chief Trump has a fantasy dream that all the rustbelt states will bring back major manufacturing facilities and we will return to the calmer economy of American in post-war 1950s. This might sound like a great idea on the surface, but it took more than 70 years for these former US industries to be eliminated by sellers importing cheaper goods from other countries and that’s not a clock easily turned back.

Sure, the US could have been a protectionist economic force in the last 50 years, but the rest of the world wouldn’t have bought our expensive goods. Large markets such as China, India and Southeasts Asia would have simply bought items and sold products such as steel and aluminum to and from other nations. Our industries might have collapsed faster.

Instead of trying to bring back those high polluting industries, with no guarantee that we could even produce cheaper products, we need to look toward products of the future. To borrow a sports metaphor from famous hall of fame hockey star Wayne Gretzky, success is “not skating to where the puck was but skating to where the puck is going to be.” And that is precisely what we must do with our industrial developments and plans.

The world is migrating toward wind and sun energy. Why can’t we be the #1 producer of the gear to lead the planet to renewable energy? If the earth is all about technology, why aren’t we investing in education and finding the brightest and smartest inventors for the future? It’s a better investment than cranking up the coal burning power plants. Even investment in nuclear power plants makes more sense then putting money into old technology. We can produce without killing the world markets.

Most smart investors and economists understand how things work, but remember, they are never 100% correct. We have a president who thinks he knows everything about money and how to make billions, yet in his life he lost more than a BILLION dollars and paid no taxes for more than a decade. Sadly, his followers don’t care about the past. They don’t even care about the Mueller report. The reality is we all will lose money because of Donald Trump. WHY DO WE HAVE TO PAY FOR HIS MISTAKES? Hey, maybe that’s a good tag line for a political opponent’s commercial in 2020!

BRAND NEW BOOK ON AMERICA

Gold, God, Guns & Goofballs shows how we’ve wasted our GOLD on bad wars and corruption. While GOD is there for many people as a spiritual enrichment and the provider of glowing feelings, the truth is just praying and believing will not change our major arc. We don’t determine who gets a GUN. We aren’t sure if we have paramilitary groups ready to storm the White House or a White Castle. There is no control of weapons. The GOOFBALLS with the power constantly try to manipulate us into spending more money on bombs and tanks and wars. When all of our institutions are infected with neglect and fall in disrepair, we will only have ourselves to blame. This book is not an antidote for the left or right, it’s an accelerant to move the middle off their collective asses to go do something positive for America.

Get the Kindle Version HERE. Or order your paperback edition HERE.


PREFORMANCE ART PRESIDENT

Trump Adlibs His Way Through Everything

There are times when I feel like I am watching our president drift into a mental condition, the early onset of an ailment. We should remember the signs of someone heading into Alzheimer’s: changes in mood and personality, decreased or poor judgment, confusion with time or place, difficulty completing familiar tasks. Hey, this is not a diagnosis. It’s just a question.

Donald Trump tends to repeat himself as if he is following a well-rehearsed script, but then turns on a dime and jumps into his extemporaneous and unhinged reality character. Improv can be a blast, but when the fate of the nation is cast aside for a good line or a guffaw, then we are in trouble. Like a performance artist, Trump must get a laugh or reaction, but deep down inside he needs to be loved. Most performers have the same desire.

Little Hand of our Leader

After being urged on by his Fox News and friends, the Donald came out last weekend tweeting his heart and soul to please his base and satisfy the immoral TV hosts who are manipulating this unstable human in the White House. Quite frankly, I am sick of hearing about his fucking base. I am not in the base, but a taxpayer living in my country. I should be part of his focus.

The important thing to remember is that our Great Orange Leader is doing exactly what he pledged on the campaign trail. And there are two questions the American electorate need to ask when a politician makes promises. One, Is the proposal good for America and, two, what would happen in the aftermath? When Bernie Sanders proposed free college for everyone, it wasn’t hard for the neoconservatives and right wing talk radio hosts to reveal the cost and the socialist nature of his proposal.

When Trump was on the trail, he was fast to attack China, saying that China was raping us. Strange how important the word “rape” is to Donald Trump. But when he finally met the leader of the largest economy in the world, he kowtowed like a teenaged girl. Trump said that Xi Jinping is “a very special man” and bragged about the “great chemistry” he had with the communist leader. He congratulated Xi on his newly found authority to be the Chinese leader for life. Trump went so far to say, “I don’t blame China. Who can blame a country for being able to take advantage of another country for the benefit of its citizens? I give China great credit.” But that didn’t change Trump’s base belief that the country needs to be punished.

This week, Trump fell into the arms of protectionism and threw the first salvo in his trade beefs with China by warning of tariffs on steel and aluminum. The actor adlibbed a line that pleased himself and sent the markets around the world slumping into suspicion and fear. The Donald said that trade wars are good and then clarified that with “We’ve already lost the trade war.” He cast the blame on everyone who was in power before him.

China was ready and as they countered the tariff threats Trump felt the need to say that we will do more. China said $3B, we said $50B. Then they said $50B back at you, and Trump released a $100B intimidation last night. What looks like a tit-for-tat tariff trick has been called a negotiation ploy by Trump’s new economic adviser, Larry Kudlow.

The seriousness of $100 billion of additional tariffs against China prompted this reaction from Chinese trade officials, “We will immediately fight back with a major response. We feel America is very arrogant. They have taken a wrong action. The result is that they will hurt themselves.”  

Some have reported they even used the word “war,” as in TRADE WAR. That is what Trump wants. Even though he denies it, he wants to be the war president. And these unrehearsed remarks and reckless policy statements cause problems in the Republican party. Trump acts on ideas without the consideration of how they might affect working Americans. It is another indication that he is truly unfit to lead.

Here is just a sample of reactions from the heartland politicians in his own party: Ben Sasse, [R] Nebraska: “Hopefully the President is just blowing off steam again but, if he’s even half-serious, this is nuts! China is guilty of many things, but the President has no actual plan to win right now. He’s threatening to light American agriculture on fire. Let’s absolutely take on Chinese bad behavior, but with a plan that punishes them instead of us. This is the dumbest way to do this.”

Republican Senator of Iowa, Joni Ernst, said, “Just because you’re slapping tariffs on steel doesn’t mean that there aren’t going to be repercussions in other areas. We export a lot of our soy beans to China, and we know that China is a bad actor. But there is a delicate balance out there, and we need to have thorough negotiations. We haven’t gone through that process.”

Trump also said he would hire a Minister of Agriculture to draw up a plan “to protect our farmers and agricultural interests,” but he provided no details. WTF? Are we in a communist country? Doesn’t the idiot know that since Abraham Lincoln we’ve had the U.S. Department of Agriculture which is tasked with those duties? The current Secretary of Agriculture is former Georgia Governor Sonny Perdue. He’s your man Donald. Get him involved. You don’t need to appoint a “minister!” This is not a religious thing. It’s our food supply and you should let your people do their jobs.

While Scott Pruitt upstages the orange actor of the Oval Office, Trump wraps the protectionism blanket around his shoulders and hunkers down for a long cold summer of trade wars and volatility in the markets. During an interview (4-6-2018) on the Bernie and Sid in the Morning show on the New York radio station 77 WABC, Trump said, “I’m not saying there’s not gonna be any pain.”

He admitted that the initial reaction from markets is likely to be negative and that investors “could lose a little bit.” China can inflict more pain on America, than we can on them. We have too much debt for this over-acting. Trump should be careful that Chinese banks don’t call in all the loans.

The old actor’s makeup is running, and his sad, dark personality shows that his deal making is more machismo than masterful maneuver or proper policy. When he cannot defend his ideas with intellect, he lies. When he is confronted about his distortions of the truth, he finds someone to say he’s right. He’s not a president that means anything to thinking people of the United States of America. Trump is a fake president.

The First 200 Days Of Trump – ONLY ONE MILLION LEFT

These daily diatribes from a delusional blogger give you a day by day overview of the 45th President’s first two-hundred days in office. Follow Donald Trump through the tough times on his way to impeachment. Kindle Version HERE, or Get the printed book now, CLICK HERE.

 

New Book about Terrorism

One of the most eye-opening stories about terrorism. The famous cable TV talk show host, Jonas Bronck, leaves New York on his quest to find truth. He finds himself in the middle of terror and personal torment in the name of journalism. He once again asks, If God Could Cry, would he be crying for us, or with us?

Now available on Amazon.


THE COLD WINTER OF WAR

The Real Dangers of the Donald

The irony of the statement candidate Trump made on the campaign trail was that we should not elect Hillary Clinton because she would surely get us into war. Now, as Donald Trump makes his emboldened moves toward shaping the government in his very image, we are much closer to what he described in his imagination.

When Trump began his reality TV presidency, there were many people who didn’t take him seriously. There were some who were amused that a man who ran a reality TV game show and rouge businesses could make a difference. Without knowing that this philandering hypocrite would carry out most of what he said he would do points to another irony. We are so intellectually numb from most politicians not achieving their promises, we assumed that Trump would moderate once he became President. Wrong.

While TV wails away with a porn star, a Playboy bunny and a singer, we can’t find the punchline for what appears to be the setup of a joke. Donald Trump’s loyal followers, the Orange Cult, will not be thrown from the train over these detailed descriptions of Hollywood bungalows and liaisons with unprotected sex. Is there not a point when the men of God who believe in Trump will be tested? When did infidelity get a pass with diehard Christians? What do Mike and Karen Pence think of the President now?

Meanwhile, more important issues have gotten swept under the carpet due to all the noise from all the charges. Trump lost his lead attorney and he fired his National Security Advisor, General H.R. McMasters. And, in case you didn’t notice, he signed retaliatory tariffs against China. There is a certain coverage fatigue here that works well within the news cycle, but for the busy American the changes are coming too fast to comprehend.

First, let’s talk about trade. Donald Trump promised that we would win so much we would be tired of winning. He kept talking about how good the stock market has done since he became President. In a sense, he sold America the notion of getting rich. To this writer, however, it appears that our Great Orange Leader is simply “getting even” with countries he claims have been screwing America.

The method here is primal. Make the Mexicans, the Chinese and the Iranians the bad guys and ignore the threat of Russian interference in our elections. Is Donald Trump afraid of Russia or something that Russia knows about him? While we slept, Trump remodeled foreign policy and built trade walls, pushing us closer to wars of two kinds.

While Trump’s lawyers are focusing on silencing the porn star, the bunny and the singer, the changes within our government are remarkable. The Donald is clearly tired of listening to the military logic of “his generals” and is now replacing them with people who agree with his deep confusion. He is a guy who believes his own shit doesn’t stink. He watches Fox News and hires those of their talking heads he enjoys hearing. In a way, Fox News is controlling the president. This is frightening.

His new economic adviser is a recent Fox contributor. When the headline screams, Larry Kudlow: TV pundit to replace Gary Cohn as Trump’s top economic adviser (Guardian) we should all worry. When the President of the United States feels more comfortable with pundits than experts, we are doomed to life in a bubble with no escape. Sucking on the Fox feedback loop is the most threatening thing a president could do.

With the appointment of John Bolton as the new National Security Advisor, Trump has once again moved toward an ultra-conservative, pro-military action figure who thinks that America’s mandate is nation changing. This might seem out of sync with Trump’s critical views of the military efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan, but Trump has slowly removed people who were there to talk him out of war. Bolton’s final solution for Iran and North Korea involves bombs and boots on the ground. Trump joked that he made Bolton promise him that he wouldn’t get us into war. Did he actually have to say that? WTF!

Holding China’s hand to the fire on trade might warm the hearts of the hardcore Trumpettes, but will inevitably start a NO-WIN trade war that will suck dollars out of the wallets and purses of the people who put Trump in office. China has already announced that they will strike back with $3 billion tariffs on 128 US products which include wine, fresh fruit, dried fruit and nuts, steel pipes, ethanol and, believe it or not, ginseng.

All this is happening before Trump turns his head toward the EU and the NAFTA agreements. He might get even with the countries where some of his own products are made, but he doesn’t understand the gravity of his actions and their effect on our economy. Trump’s short terms goals conflict with the stock market.

While Donald Trump checked off another campaign promise, we saw our 401(k)s diminish. Is he really helping us, or is he just another blowhard who has the power to enact his fantasies and try out his half-baked opinions? It could be that he will erase all the gains we have made so far. He is a destructive whore who wants to screw other countries just as much as he wants to screw every woman he sees.

Under oath, we will eventually learn more about our President, but much of the damage will have already happened. In May, John Bolton will urge Trump to tear up the Iran Nuclear deal. Then Iran will be able to move forward with creating a nuclear weapon store, putting them in the same league as North Korea. This will pit the US against our allies in Europe and create another crisis in the Middle East.

Trump is mentally incapable of understanding all of this. He now believes that his twitter attacks brought Kim-Jong Un to the bargaining table, totally disregarding the efforts made by South Korea. In fact, this will be a three-way meeting with the South, the North and the President. He will not be able to take full credit and that will piss him off. With John Bolton in the drivers’ seat, I wonder if the meeting will ever take place. Google some of the things Bolton has said about North Korea and you will see.

Even as spring comes to America, it remains a cold winter. A trade war might not be understood by Americans until they start to run out of money. A real war will be grasped when our sons and daughters are sent into harm’s way, again. The citizens of this great nation will come to see that the man behind the curtain lied to us. Only then we might start to ask, why did we elect a liar?

The First 200 Days Of Trump – ONLY ONE MILLION LEFT

These daily diatribes from a delusional blogger give you a day by day overview of the 45th President’s first two-hundred days in office. Follow Donald Trump through the tough times on his way to impeachment. Kindle Version HERE, or Get the printed book now, CLICK HERE.

 

New Book about Terrorism

One of the most eye-opening stories about terrorism. The famous cable TV talk show host, Jonas Bronck, leaves New York on his quest to find truth. He finds himself in the middle of terror and personal torment in the name of journalism. He once again asks, If God Could Cry, would he be crying for us, or with us?

Now available on Amazon.